Week 3 · College Football

Fresno State vs San José St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Fresno State a 73% chance to beat San José St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#72 Mountain West Conference

Fresno State

2% to make the 12

@

#118 Mountain West Conference

San José St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFresno State −9.5Model
Projected scoreFresno State 31 — San José St 21

Fresno State is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

Fresno State

73%

to win

San José St

27%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Fresno State
vs
San José St
#103Offense · EPA/play#65
#31Defense · EPA/play#105
#88Explosiveness#62
#105Success rate#57
17%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Fresno State is hearing

What San José St is hearing

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