Week 4 · College Football

Missouri St vs SMU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives SMU a 94% chance to beat Missouri St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#112 Conference USA

Missouri St

0% to make the 12

@

#23 Atlantic Coast Conference

SMU

18% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSMU −23.5Model
Projected scoreMissouri St 14 — SMU 38

SMU is a heavy favorite — 94% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter13 · CHALK
13/ 100
CalmMayhem

Missouri St

6%

to win

SMU

94%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Missouri St
vs
SMU
#66Offense · EPA/play#22
#122Defense · EPA/play#11
#2Explosiveness#10
#110Success rate#54
—Returning production50%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Missouri St is hearing

What SMU is hearing

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