Week 13 · College Football

Appalachian State vs South Alabama prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Alabama a 56% chance to beat Appalachian State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#103 Sun Belt Conference

Appalachian State

0% to make the 12

@

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Alabama −2.5Model
Projected scoreAppalachian State 25South Alabama 27

A coin flip. The model nudges South Alabama by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Appalachian State

44%

to win

South Alabama

56%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Appalachian State
vs
South Alabama
#108Offense · EPA/play#75
#86Defense · EPA/play#121
#104Explosiveness#100
#87Success rate#76
14%Returning production25%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Appalachian State is hearing

What South Alabama is hearing

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