Week 3 · College Football

Ohio vs South Alabama prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Alabama a 59% chance to beat Ohio in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#107 Mid-American Conference

Ohio

0% to make the 12

@

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Alabama −3.5Model
Projected scoreOhio 24 — South Alabama 28

A coin flip. The model nudges South Alabama by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ohio

41%

to win

South Alabama

59%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ohio
vs
South Alabama
#40Offense · EPA/play#75
#57Defense · EPA/play#121
#80Explosiveness#100
#40Success rate#76
65%Returning production25%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Ohio leads 1–0

Last met 2024 · Ohio 27–20 South Alabama— Ohio won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ohio is hearing

What South Alabama is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.