Week 5 · College Football

Kentucky vs South Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Carolina a 73% chance to beat Kentucky in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

@

#26 Southeastern Conference

South Carolina

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Carolina −9.5Model
Projected scoreKentucky 21 — South Carolina 31

South Carolina is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kentucky

27%

to win

South Carolina

73%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kentucky
vs
South Carolina
#109Offense · EPA/play#102
#79Defense · EPA/play#29
#127Explosiveness#28
#59Success rate#115
27%Returning production63%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

37 meetings all-time

South Carolina leads 22–14–1

Last met 2025 · South Carolina 35–13 Kentucky— South Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kentucky is hearing

What South Carolina is hearing

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