#26 Southeastern Conference

South Carolina

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does South Carolina win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

12%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#10

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Kent State97%
W2vs Towson98%
W3vs Mississippi St76%
W4@ Alabama25%
W5vs Kentucky74%
W6@ Florida32%
W8vs Tennessee48%
W9@ Oklahoma27%
W10vs Texas A&M35%
W11@ Arkansas57%
W12vs Georgia29%
W13@ Clemson45%

Chaos meter41 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Alabama → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 12%
16-team field: 16%
24-team field: 25%
Win conference: 3%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 12% → 12%

Pre 12%Aug 12%

Up next

vs Kent State· W197% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where South Carolina finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#49

+5.9 · off #86 / def #31

Talent composite

#18

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#18

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

63%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#86

EPA / play#102
Success rate#115
Explosiveness#28

Defense#31

EPA / play#29
Success rate#71

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.