Week 1 · College Football
FIU vs South Florida prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives South Florida a 83% chance to beat FIU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#100 Conference USA
FIU
0% to make the 12
@
#46 American Athletic Conference
South Florida
5% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadSouth Florida −14.5Vegas
Projected scoreFIU 19 — South Florida 33
South Florida should handle it: 14.5-point edge, 83% to win.
Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem
FIU
17%
to win
South Florida
83%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFIUSouth Florida#78Offense · EPA/play#18
#66Defense · EPA/play#30
#35Explosiveness#38
#90Success rate#22
42%Returning production100%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat FIU is hearing
What South Florida is hearing
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