#100 Conference USA

FIU

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does FIU win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

11%

SOS

#128

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ South Florida16%
W2vs Buffalo69%
W3@ FAU31%
W4vs Long Island University90%
W6vs New Mexico St72%
W7@ Jax State39%
W8vs Middle Tennessee81%
W9@ Liberty30%
W10vs Missouri St68%
W11@ Delaware47%
W12@ Kennesaw St42%
W13vs Sam Houston79%

Chaos meter27 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to South Florida → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 2%
Win conference: 11%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ South Florida· W116% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where FIU finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#107

-10.5 · off #74 / def #124

Talent composite

#98

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#90

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

42%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#74

EPA / play#78
Success rate#90
Explosiveness#35

Defense#124

EPA / play#66
Success rate#75

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

-5

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.