Week 11 · College Football
Memphis vs South Florida prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives South Florida a 61% chance to beat Memphis in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#57 American Athletic Conference
Memphis
3% to make the 12
#46 American Athletic Conference
South Florida
5% to make the 12
The model's read
South Florida is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.
Memphis
39%
to win
South Florida
61%
to win
Who wins?
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Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksMemphisSouth FloridaNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
14 meetings all-timeMemphis leads 10–4
Last met 2025 · Memphis 34–31 South Florida— Memphis won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Memphis is hearing
What South Florida is hearing
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