Week 9 · College Football

UAB vs South Florida prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Florida a 88% chance to beat UAB in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#122 American Athletic Conference

UAB

0% to make the 12

@

#46 American Athletic Conference

South Florida

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Florida −18.5Model
Projected scoreUAB 17 — South Florida 35

South Florida is a heavy favorite — 88% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter23 · CHALK
23/ 100
CalmMayhem

UAB

12%

to win

South Florida

88%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UAB
vs
South Florida
#58Offense · EPA/play#18
#135Defense · EPA/play#30
#39Explosiveness#38
#58Success rate#22
73%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

South Florida leads 3–2

Last met 2025 · UAB 18–48 South Florida— South Florida won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UAB is hearing

What South Florida is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.