Week 7 · College Football

Arkansas St vs Southern Miss prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Southern Miss a 56% chance to beat Arkansas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#109 Sun Belt Conference

Arkansas St

0% to make the 12

@

#113 Sun Belt Conference

Southern Miss

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouthern Miss −2.5Model
Projected scoreArkansas St 25Southern Miss 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Southern Miss by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arkansas St

44%

to win

Southern Miss

56%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arkansas St
vs
Southern Miss
#110Offense · EPA/play#71
#97Defense · EPA/play#54
#121Explosiveness#25
#75Success rate#108
59%Returning production52%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arkansas St is hearing

What Southern Miss is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.