Week 12 · College Football

South Alabama vs Southern Miss prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Southern Miss a 54% chance to beat South Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

@

#113 Sun Belt Conference

Southern Miss

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouthern Miss −1.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Alabama 25Southern Miss 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Southern Miss by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Alabama

46%

to win

Southern Miss

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Alabama
vs
Southern Miss
#75Offense · EPA/play#71
#121Defense · EPA/play#54
#100Explosiveness#25
#76Success rate#108
25%Returning production52%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings all-time

South Alabama leads 6–0

Last met 2025 · South Alabama 4235 Southern MissSouth Alabama won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Alabama is hearing

What Southern Miss is hearing

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