Week 3 · College Football
Arkansas St vs TCU prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives TCU a 87% chance to beat Arkansas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#109 Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas St
0% to make the 12
@
#47 Big 12 Conference
TCU
8% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadTCU −17.5Model
Projected scoreArkansas St 17 — TCU 35
TCU is a heavy favorite — 87% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Chaos meter26 · CHALK
26/ 100
CalmMayhem
Arkansas St
13%
to win
TCU
87%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksArkansas StTCU#110Offense · EPA/play#48
#97Defense · EPA/play#59
#121Explosiveness#50
#75Success rate#44
59%Returning production61%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Arkansas St is hearing
What TCU is hearing
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