Week 5 · College Football

BYU vs TCU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives BYU a 66% chance to beat TCU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#17 Big 12 Conference

BYU

26% to make the 12

@

#47 Big 12 Conference

TCU

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBYU −6.5Model
Projected scoreBYU 29 — TCU 23

BYU is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

BYU

66%

to win

TCU

34%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
BYU
vs
TCU
#33Offense · EPA/play#48
#22Defense · EPA/play#59
#106Explosiveness#50
#27Success rate#44
87%Returning production61%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings all-time

TCU leads 7–6

Last met 2025 · BYU 44–13 TCU— BYU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What BYU is hearing

What TCU is hearing

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