Week 11 · College Football

Kansas State vs TCU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 56% chance to beat TCU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

@

#47 Big 12 Conference

TCU

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −2.5Model
Projected scoreKansas State 27 — TCU 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Kansas State by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas State

56%

to win

TCU

44%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas State
vs
TCU
#37Offense · EPA/play#48
#56Defense · EPA/play#59
#6Explosiveness#50
#92Success rate#44
69%Returning production61%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

19 meetings all-time

Kansas State leads 11–8

Last met 2025 · Kansas State 41–28 TCU— Kansas State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas State is hearing

What TCU is hearing

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