Week 10 · College Football

Kentucky vs Tennessee prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Tennessee a 79% chance to beat Kentucky in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

@

#21 Southeastern Conference

Tennessee

20% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTennessee −12.5Model
Projected scoreKentucky 20Tennessee 32

Tennessee should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kentucky

21%

to win

Tennessee

79%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kentucky
vs
Tennessee
#109Offense · EPA/play#8
#79Defense · EPA/play#61
#127Explosiveness#59
#59Success rate#4
27%Returning production22%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

118 meetings all-time

Tennessee leads 84–25–9

Last met 2025 · Kentucky 3456 TennesseeTennessee won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kentucky is hearing

What Tennessee is hearing

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