Week 4 · College Football

Texas vs Tennessee prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 66% chance to beat Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

@

#21 Southeastern Conference

Tennessee

20% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −6.5Vegas
Projected scoreTexas 29 — Tennessee 23

Texas is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

Texas

66%

to win

Tennessee

34%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Texas
vs
Tennessee
#57Offense · EPA/play#8
#40Defense · EPA/play#61
#13Explosiveness#59
#94Success rate#4
28%Returning production22%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Texas leads 2–1

Last met 1968 · Texas 36–13 Tennessee (neutral)— Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Texas is hearing

What Tennessee is hearing

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