Week 11 · College Football
Fresno State vs Texas St prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas St a 54% chance to beat Fresno State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#72 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
2% to make the 12
#78 Sun Belt Conference
Texas St
1% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Texas St by a field goal — 54% to win.
Fresno State
46%
to win
Texas St
54%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFresno StateTexas StNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Fresno State is hearing
What Texas St is hearing
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