Week 9 · College Football

Arizona vs Texas Tech prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 83% chance to beat Arizona in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

@

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −14.5Model
Projected scoreArizona 19 — Texas Tech 33

Texas Tech should handle it: 14.5-point edge, 83% to win.

Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arizona

17%

to win

Texas Tech

83%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arizona
vs
Texas Tech
#69Offense · EPA/play#23
#26Defense · EPA/play#2
#51Explosiveness#31
#66Success rate#50
56%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

34 meetings all-time

Texas Tech leads 27–5–2

Last met 2024 · Arizona 22–28 Texas Tech— Texas Tech won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arizona is hearing

What Texas Tech is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.