Week 7 · College Football

Arizona State vs Texas Tech prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 84% chance to beat Arizona State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#35 Big 12 Conference

Arizona State

8% to make the 12

@

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −15.5Model
Projected scoreArizona State 18 — Texas Tech 34

Texas Tech should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arizona State

16%

to win

Texas Tech

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arizona State
vs
Texas Tech
#89Offense · EPA/play#23
#44Defense · EPA/play#2
#49Explosiveness#31
#104Success rate#50
70%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings all-time

All square 3–3

Last met 2025 · Arizona State 26–22 Texas Tech— Arizona State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arizona State is hearing

What Texas Tech is hearing

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