Week 3 · College Football

Houston vs Texas Tech prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 81% chance to beat Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#18 Big 12 Conference

Houston

17% to make the 12

@

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −13.5Vegas
Projected scoreHouston 19 — Texas Tech 33

Texas Tech should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston

19%

to win

Texas Tech

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston
vs
Texas Tech
#101Offense · EPA/play#23
#47Defense · EPA/play#2
#78Explosiveness#31
#79Success rate#50
105%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

36 meetings all-time

Houston leads 18–17–1

Last met 2025 · Houston 11–35 Texas Tech— Texas Tech won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston is hearing

What Texas Tech is hearing

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