Week 1 · College Football
Texas St vs Texas prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 97% chance to beat Texas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#78 Sun Belt Conference
Texas St
1% to make the 12
@
#5 Southeastern Conference
Texas
48% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadTexas −29.5Vegas
Projected scoreTexas St 11 — Texas 41
Texas is a heavy favorite — 97% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Chaos meter6 · CHALK
6/ 100
CalmMayhem
Texas St
3%
to win
Texas
97%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksTexas StTexas#10Offense · EPA/play#57
#71Defense · EPA/play#40
#18Explosiveness#13
#29Success rate#94
93%Returning production28%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Texas St is hearing
What Texas is hearing
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