Week 12 · College Football

Bowling Green vs Toledo prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Toledo a 77% chance to beat Bowling Green in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#125 Mid-American Conference

Bowling Green

0% to make the 12

@

#92 Mid-American Conference

Toledo

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadToledo −11.5Model
Projected scoreBowling Green 20Toledo 32

Toledo should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Bowling Green

23%

to win

Toledo

77%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Bowling Green
vs
Toledo
#129Offense · EPA/play#44
#62Defense · EPA/play#1
#68Explosiveness#87
#127Success rate#43
8%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

64 meetings all-time

Toledo leads 33–30–1

Last met 2025 · Bowling Green 2823 ToledoBowling Green won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Bowling Green is hearing

What Toledo is hearing

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