Week 6 · College Football

Southern Miss vs Troy prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Troy a 69% chance to beat Southern Miss in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#113 Sun Belt Conference

Southern Miss

0% to make the 12

@

#88 Sun Belt Conference

Troy

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTroy −7.5Model
Projected scoreSouthern Miss 22 — Troy 30

Troy is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Southern Miss

31%

to win

Troy

69%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Southern Miss
vs
Troy
#71Offense · EPA/play#114
#54Defense · EPA/play#51
#25Explosiveness#40
#108Success rate#117
52%Returning production33%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

9 meetings all-time

Troy leads 6–3

Last met 2025 · Southern Miss 18–28 Troy— Troy won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Southern Miss is hearing

What Troy is hearing

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