Week 8 · College Football

UL Monroe vs Troy prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Troy a 79% chance to beat UL Monroe in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#129 Sun Belt Conference

UL Monroe

0% to make the 12

@

#88 Sun Belt Conference

Troy

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTroy −12.5Model
Projected scoreUL Monroe 20 — Troy 32

Troy should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

UL Monroe

21%

to win

Troy

79%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UL Monroe
vs
Troy
#115Offense · EPA/play#114
#90Defense · EPA/play#51
#12Explosiveness#40
#121Success rate#117
78%Returning production33%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

19 meetings all-time

Troy leads 11–8

Last met 2025 · UL Monroe 14–37 Troy— Troy won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UL Monroe is hearing

What Troy is hearing

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