#129 Sun Belt Conference

UL Monroe

Projected 4–8 · 4 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does UL Monroe win? The Ninjas project 4.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#123

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Mississippi St9%
W2@ UAB34%
W3vs SE Louisiana79%
W4vs FAU27%
W5@ South Alabama24%
W7vs Louisiana Tech33%
W8@ Troy19%
W9vs Southern Miss42%
W10@ Arkansas St27%
W11vs Louisiana29%
W12@ Appalachian State24%
W13vs Marshall24%

Chaos meter12 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Mississippi St → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: <1%
24-team field: 1%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ Mississippi St· W19% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where UL Monroe finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#131

-21.6 · off #127 / def #123

Talent composite

#124

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#115

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

78%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#127

EPA / play#115
Success rate#121
Explosiveness#12

Defense#123

EPA / play#90
Success rate#57

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.