Week 1 · College Football

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Oklahoma State a 81% chance to beat Tulsa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#65 Big 12 Conference

Oklahoma State

4% to make the 12

@

#93 American Athletic Conference

Tulsa

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOklahoma State −13.5Vegas
Projected scoreOklahoma State 33Tulsa 19

Oklahoma State should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oklahoma State

81%

to win

Tulsa

19%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oklahoma State
vs
Tulsa
#135Offense · EPA/play#99
#127Defense · EPA/play#68
#111Explosiveness#52
#133Success rate#93
45%Returning production99%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

77 meetings all-time

Oklahoma State leads 44–28–5

Last met 2025 · Oklahoma State 1219 TulsaTulsa won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oklahoma State is hearing

What Tulsa is hearing

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