Week 7 · College Football

East Carolina vs UAB prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives East Carolina a 77% chance to beat UAB in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#54 American Athletic Conference

East Carolina

2% to make the 12

@

#122 American Athletic Conference

UAB

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadEast Carolina −11.5Model
Projected scoreEast Carolina 32 — UAB 20

East Carolina should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

East Carolina

77%

to win

UAB

23%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
East Carolina
vs
UAB
#49Offense · EPA/play#58
#16Defense · EPA/play#135
#118Explosiveness#39
#30Success rate#58
51%Returning production73%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings all-time

East Carolina leads 9–4

Last met 2013 · East Carolina 63–14 UAB— East Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What East Carolina is hearing

What UAB is hearing

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