Week 9 · College Football

Baylor vs UCF prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Baylor a 56% chance to beat UCF in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

@

#73 Big 12 Conference

UCF

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBaylor −2.5Model
Projected scoreBaylor 27 — UCF 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Baylor by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Baylor

56%

to win

UCF

44%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Baylor
vs
UCF
#51Offense · EPA/play#83
#83Defense · EPA/play#53
#43Explosiveness#11
#41Success rate#100
83%Returning production31%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Baylor leads 2–1

Last met 2025 · Baylor 30–3 UCF— Baylor won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Baylor is hearing

What UCF is hearing

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