Week 8 · College Football

BYU vs UCF prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives BYU a 77% chance to beat UCF in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#17 Big 12 Conference

BYU

26% to make the 12

@

#73 Big 12 Conference

UCF

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBYU −11.5Model
Projected scoreBYU 32 — UCF 20

BYU should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

BYU

77%

to win

UCF

23%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
BYU
vs
UCF
#33Offense · EPA/play#83
#22Defense · EPA/play#53
#106Explosiveness#11
#27Success rate#100
87%Returning production31%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

BYU leads 4–1

Last met 2025 · BYU 41–21 UCF— BYU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What BYU is hearing

What UCF is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.