Week 11 · College Football

James Madison vs UConn prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives James Madison a 77% chance to beat UConn in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#33 Sun Belt Conference

James Madison

9% to make the 12

@

#102 FBS Independent

UConn

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJames Madison −11.5Model
Projected scoreJames Madison 32UConn 20

James Madison should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

James Madison

77%

to win

UConn

23%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
James Madison
vs
UConn
#31Offense · EPA/play#9
#6Defense · EPA/play#109
#37Explosiveness#22
#36Success rate#28
78%Returning production68%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

James Madison leads 1–0

Last met 2023 · James Madison 446 UConnJames Madison won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What James Madison is hearing

What UConn is hearing

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