Week 9 · College Football

Southern Miss vs UL Monroe prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Southern Miss a 56% chance to beat UL Monroe in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#113 Sun Belt Conference

Southern Miss

0% to make the 12

@

#129 Sun Belt Conference

UL Monroe

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouthern Miss −2.5Model
Projected scoreSouthern Miss 27UL Monroe 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Southern Miss by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Southern Miss

56%

to win

UL Monroe

44%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Southern Miss
vs
UL Monroe
#71Offense · EPA/play#115
#54Defense · EPA/play#90
#25Explosiveness#12
#108Success rate#121
52%Returning production78%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

10 meetings all-time

Southern Miss leads 7–3

Last met 2025 · Southern Miss 4921 UL MonroeSouthern Miss won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Southern Miss is hearing

What UL Monroe is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.