Week 13 · College Football

Nevada vs UNLV prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives UNLV a 86% chance to beat Nevada in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#127 Mountain West Conference

Nevada

0% to make the 12

@

#76 Mountain West Conference

UNLV

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUNLV −16.5Model
Projected scoreNevada 18UNLV 34

UNLV should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Nevada

14%

to win

UNLV

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Nevada
vs
UNLV
#127Offense · EPA/play#17
#91Defense · EPA/play#112
#91Explosiveness#14
#120Success rate#23
66%Returning production15%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

42 meetings all-time

Nevada leads 25–17

Last met 2025 · Nevada 1742 UNLVUNLV won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Nevada is hearing

What UNLV is hearing

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