Week 10 · College Football
Fresno State vs Utah State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Fresno State a 56% chance to beat Utah State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#72 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
2% to make the 12
#97 Mountain West Conference
Utah State
0% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Fresno State by a field goal — 56% to win.
Fresno State
56%
to win
Utah State
44%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFresno StateUtah StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
34 meetings all-timeFresno State leads 19–14–1
Last met 2025 · Fresno State 17–28 Utah State— Utah State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Fresno State is hearing
What Utah State is hearing
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