Week 3 · College Football

Utah State vs Utah prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Utah a 90% chance to beat Utah State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#97 Mountain West Conference

Utah State

0% to make the 12

@

#27 Big 12 Conference

Utah

21% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUtah −19.5Model
Projected scoreUtah State 16 — Utah 36

Utah is a heavy favorite — 90% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter21 · CHALK
21/ 100
CalmMayhem

Utah State

10%

to win

Utah

90%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Utah State
vs
Utah
#42Offense · EPA/play#3
#101Defense · EPA/play#24
#17Explosiveness#60
#84Success rate#6
63%Returning production14%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

105 meetings all-time

Utah leads 73–28–4

Last met 2024 · Utah State 21–38 Utah— Utah won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Utah State is hearing

What Utah is hearing

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