Week 3 · College Football

NC State vs Vanderbilt prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Vanderbilt a 59% chance to beat NC State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#51 Atlantic Coast Conference

NC State

11% to make the 12

@

#48 Southeastern Conference

Vanderbilt

7% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadVanderbilt −3.5Model
Projected scoreNC State 24Vanderbilt 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Vanderbilt by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

NC State

41%

to win

Vanderbilt

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
NC State
vs
Vanderbilt
#27Offense · EPA/play#1
#92Defense · EPA/play#96
#9Explosiveness#5
#67Success rate#5
95%Returning production86%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Vanderbilt leads 2–1

Last met 2016 · Vanderbilt 1741 NC State (neutral)NC State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What NC State is hearing

What Vanderbilt is hearing

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