#48 Southeastern Conference

Vanderbilt

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Call the season

How many games does Vanderbilt win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

7%

Title

<1%

Win conf

1%

SOS

#11

Chaos meter41 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →
  • LOCKWin outin the field, no committee debate.
  • RISKLose to Georgiathe margin for error vanishes.
  • CHAOSRun the table + upsetsthe only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12
7%
16-team field
10%
24-team field
17%
Win conference
1%
National title
<1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

0
Pre 7%7%
Pre 7%Aug 7%

Up next

vs Austin Peay· W197% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Vanderbilt finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#11

+20.3 · off #5 / def #39

Talent composite

#55

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#76

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

86%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank
Offense#5
  • EPA / play#1
  • Success rate#5
  • Explosiveness#5
Defense#39
  • EPA / play#96
  • Success rate#73

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

18

3.1★ avg

Portal out

19

3.2★ avg

Net

-1

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.

Rooting guide

Beyond Vanderbilt's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.

Win the SEC

The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.

At-large dogfight

Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.

Rivalries

The all-time series against the teams Vanderbilt keeps playing.

The buzz

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Board strength 48 of 100 · polls say 44, our model says 51 · Updated Aug 17, 2026 · how this is built