Week 5 · College Football

Fresno State vs Washington St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Fresno State a 51% chance to beat Washington St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#72 Mountain West Conference

Fresno State

2% to make the 12

@

#91 Pac-12 Conference

Washington St

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFresno State −0.5Model
Projected scoreFresno State 26Washington St 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Fresno State by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

Fresno State

51%

to win

Washington St

49%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Fresno State
vs
Washington St
#103Offense · EPA/play#92
#31Defense · EPA/play#36
#88Explosiveness#131
#105Success rate#78
17%Returning production25%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Fresno State is hearing

What Washington St is hearing

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