#91 Pac-12 Conference

Washington St

Projected 5–6 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Washington St win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

59%

SOS

#57

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Washington11%
W2@ Kansas State12%
W3vs Duquesne93%
W4vs Arizona25%
W5vs Fresno State48%
W6@ Utah State47%
W7@ Oregon St62%
W8vs Boise State33%
W9@ San Diego State31%
W11vs Colorado St75%
W12@ Texas St37%

Chaos meter30 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin the Pac-12 Conference → the auto-bid and you're in.
RISKLose to Washington → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 2%
16-team field: 4%
24-team field: 7%
Win conference: 59%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 2% → 2%

Pre 2%Aug 2%

Up next

@ Washington· W111% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Washington St finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#61

+3.8 · off #86 / def #32

Talent composite

#95

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#71

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

25%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#86

EPA / play#92
Success rate#78
Explosiveness#131

Defense#32

EPA / play#36
Success rate#76

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

2.9★ avg

Net

-13

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.