Week 11 · College Football

Jax State vs Western Kentucky prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Western Kentucky a 59% chance to beat Jax State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#101 Conference USA

Jax State

1% to make the 12

@

#84 Conference USA

Western Kentucky

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadWestern Kentucky −3.5Model
Projected scoreJax State 24 — Western Kentucky 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Western Kentucky by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Jax State

41%

to win

Western Kentucky

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Jax State
vs
Western Kentucky
#53Offense · EPA/play#70
#70Defense · EPA/play#39
#57Explosiveness#95
#47Success rate#53
84%Returning production33%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Jax State is hearing

What Western Kentucky is hearing

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