Week 5 · College Football

Michigan State vs Wisconsin prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Wisconsin a 66% chance to beat Michigan State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#61 Big Ten Conference

Michigan State

2% to make the 12

@

#41 Big Ten Conference

Wisconsin

7% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadWisconsin −6.5Model
Projected scoreMichigan State 23 — Wisconsin 29

Wisconsin is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

Michigan State

34%

to win

Wisconsin

66%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Michigan State
vs
Wisconsin
#90Offense · EPA/play#130
#102Defense · EPA/play#82
#99Explosiveness#103
#72Success rate#122
69%Returning production40%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings all-time

Michigan State leads 32–23

Last met 2022 · Michigan State 34–28 Wisconsin— Michigan State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Michigan State is hearing

What Wisconsin is hearing

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