Head to head · since 2015
Updated Aug 30, 2026Toledo leads Ball State 8-2 over their last 10 meetings since 2015. They meet again in Week 5, and our model gives Toledo a 75% chance. Updated August 29, 2026.
Toledo at Ball State. Our model gives Toledo a 75% chance. That number is locked before kickoff and graded afterwards.
Full matchup breakdown →Wildest game
2022
28–21, wilder than 99% of all games
Biggest upset
2019
Ball State won with a 39% chance
Biggest crowd
16,826
2016 · Glass Bowl
Results from 2015 to 2025, most recent first.
Ball State
Toledo
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