Head to head · since 2015
Updated Aug 30, 2026Houston and UCF are level at 3-3 over their last 6 meetings since 2015. They meet again in Week 5, and our model gives Houston a 79% chance. Updated August 29, 2026.
UCF at Houston. Our model gives Houston a 79% chance. That number is locked before kickoff and graded afterwards.
Full matchup breakdown →Biggest upset
2025
Houston won with a 34% chance
Biggest crowd
43,610
2023 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Results from 2015 to 2025, most recent first.
Houston
UCF
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