Week 5 · College Football
UCF vs Houston prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston a 79% chance to beat UCF in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#73 Big 12 Conference
UCF
4% to make the 12
#18 Big 12 Conference
Houston
17% to make the 12
The model's read
Houston should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.
UCF
21%
to win
Houston
79%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksUCFHoustonNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
12 meetings all-timeUCF leads 8–4
Last met 2025 · UCF 27–30 Houston— Houston won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat UCF is hearing
What Houston is hearing
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