Sun Belt Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects Old Dominion to finish 8-3 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 27%, averaging 7.7 wins across 11 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
8-3
27% likely
Expected wins
7.7
11 rated games
Vegas win total
—
no line posted
Model vs market
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Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
vs James Madison
Week 4 · 46% to win
Easiest game
at Georgia St
Week 5 · 86% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.