Week 4 · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 66% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

@

#29 AFC West

Las Vegas Raiders

3% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadKansas City Chiefs −5.5Vegas
Projected scoreKansas City Chiefs 25 — Las Vegas Raiders 19

Kansas City Chiefs is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter68 · LIVE
68/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas City Chiefs

66%

to win

Las Vegas Raiders

34%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas City Chiefs
vs
Las Vegas Raiders
#11Offense · EPA/play#32
#12Defense · EPA/play#21
#14Success rate#30

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 35–19

Last met 2025 · Las Vegas Raiders 14–12 Kansas City Chiefs— Las Vegas Raiders won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

What Las Vegas Raiders is hearing

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