Week 5 · NFL

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston Texans a 60% chance to beat Tennessee Titans in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South

Houston Texans

68% to make the playoffs

@

#27 AFC South

Tennessee Titans

10% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadHouston Texans −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreHouston Texans 24 — Tennessee Titans 20

A coin flip. The model nudges Houston Texans by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston Texans

60%

to win

Tennessee Titans

40%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston Texans
vs
Tennessee Titans
#21Offense · EPA/play#30
#1Defense · EPA/play#28
#28Success rate#31

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

48 meetings since 1999

All square 24–24

Last met 2025 · Tennessee Titans 13–16 Houston Texans— Houston Texans won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston Texans is hearing

What Tennessee Titans is hearing

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