Week 9 · NFL
Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 57% chance to beat Houston Texans in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.
#13 AFC South
Houston Texans
68% to make the playoffs
#11 AFC West
Los Angeles Chargers
67% to make the playoffs
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Los Angeles Chargers by a field goal — 57% to win.
Houston Texans
43%
to win
Los Angeles Chargers
57%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksHouston TexansLos Angeles ChargersNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
11 meetings since 1999Los Angeles Chargers leads 6–5
Last met 2025 · Los Angeles Chargers 16–20 Houston Texans— Houston Texans won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Houston Texans is hearing
What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.