Week 17 · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 54% chance to beat Kansas City Chiefs in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadLos Angeles Chargers −1.5Model

Projected scoreKansas City Chiefs 21 — Los Angeles Chargers 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Los Angeles Chargers by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP

91/ 100

CalmMayhem

Kansas City Chiefs

46%

to win

Los Angeles Chargers

54%

to win

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

2025 efficiency · ranks

Kansas City Chiefs

Los Angeles Chargers

#11Offense · EPA/play#25

#12Defense · EPA/play#7

#14Success rate#19

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

54 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 31–23

Last met 2025 · Kansas City Chiefs 13–16 Los Angeles Chargers— Los Angeles Chargers won

via Google News

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.