Week 17 · NFL
Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 63% chance to beat Washington Commanders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.
#21 NFC East
Washington Commanders
15% to make the playoffs
#17 AFC South
Jacksonville Jaguars
43% to make the playoffs
The model's read
Jacksonville Jaguars is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.
Washington Commanders
37%
to win
Jacksonville Jaguars
63%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksWashington CommandersJacksonville JaguarsNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
7 meetings since 1999Washington Commanders leads 6–1
Last met 2022 · Washington Commanders 28–22 Jacksonville Jaguars— Washington Commanders won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Washington Commanders is hearing
What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing
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